United States · 1991–2020

Best time to visit
Tumbling Shoals.

October leads for comfortable weather in Tumbling Shoals: typically 22.7°C by day, 9.6°C at night, with 104 mm of rain. Based on measured 1991–2020 NOAA station history.

Best comfortOctober

Typical high22.7°C

Typical low9.6°C

Rain in October104 mm

Comfort

October

October · September · May

73climate match

Beach

June

June · August · September

76climate match

Outdoors

October

October · April · March

75climate match

The weakest month is January, scoring 9 against October’s 73 — days reach only 8.9°C, 15° below the 24°C the score treats as ideal, and nights drop to -2.2°C.

Month by month

The whole year,
without the guesswork.

The bars show the comfort score. Day and night temperatures come from daily observed highs and lows; rain is the historical monthly estimate.

Jan

98.9° / -2.2°

Feb

1911.8° / -0.4°

Mar

3816.4° / 3.8°

Apr

6421.8° / 8.6°

May

7026° / 13.9°

Jun

6130.2° / 18.8°

Jul

4732.5° / 20.9°

Aug

5132.4° / 20.1°

Sep

7228.8° / 16.2°

Oct

7322.7° / 9.6°

Nov

3715.8° / 4.1°

Dec

1210.4° / -0.3°

Monthly climate evidence for Tumbling Shoals — daylight is calculated from latitude, everything else is measured
Month	Day	Night	Rain	Wet days	Daylight	Comfort	Coverage
January	8.9°C	-2.2°C	90 mm	6.3	10 h	9	Strong coverage
February	11.8°C	-0.4°C	100 mm	6.7	10 h 50	19	Strong coverage
March	16.4°C	3.8°C	122 mm	7.9	11 h 52	38	Strong coverage
April	21.8°C	8.6°C	127 mm	7.6	13 h 02	64	Strong coverage
May	26°C	13.9°C	152 mm	8.5	14 h 01	70	Strong coverage
June	30.2°C	18.8°C	94 mm	6.5	14 h 33	61	Strong coverage
July	32.5°C	20.9°C	106 mm	7.4	14 h 20	47	Strong coverage
August	32.4°C	20.1°C	96 mm	6.5	13 h 30	51	Strong coverage
September	28.8°C	16.2°C	89 mm	5.8	12 h 21	72	Strong coverage
October	22.7°C	9.6°C	104 mm	6.8	11 h 13	73	Strong coverage
November	15.8°C	4.1°C	127 mm	6.8	10 h 14	37	Strong coverage
December	10.4°C	-0.3°C	120 mm	6.9	9 h 46	12	Strong coverage

What has changed

Tumbling Shoals runs +0.2°C
on the 1961–1990 baseline.

Each bar compares the 2011–2025 daytime average for that month against the same month in 1961–1990, measured at the same station. Months where the older record is too thin to compare are left blank.

Jan

+0.7

Feb

+1.0

Mar

+0.7

Apr

-0.6

May

-0.1

Jun

-0.2

Jul

-0.6

Aug

-0.8

Sep

+0.8

Oct

0.0

Nov

-0.2

Dec

+1.3

October daytime highs, 2011–2025. Last recorded: 24.0°C.

Records at GREERS FERRY DAM, 1962–2026
Month	Record high	Record low	Wettest day	Wettest / driest month	Years
January	25.6°C21 Jan 1986	-21.7°C21 Jan 1985	120 mm13 Jan 2013	212 mm1982 · driest 0 mm in 2022	64
February	27.8°C29 Feb 2024	-19.4°C16 Feb 2021	91 mm25 Feb 2011	297 mm2018 · driest 5 mm in 2024	64
March	32.2°C23 Mar 2026	-12.8°C2 Mar 2014	111 mm28 Mar 1977	365 mm1975 · driest 27 mm in 1991	64
April	34.4°C21 Apr 1987	-3.3°C2 Apr 1971	117 mm5 Apr 1997	314 mm1991 · driest 16 mm in 1987	63
May	36.1°C31 May 1977	0.6°C4 May 2013	125 mm1 May 2017	316 mm2017 · driest 9 mm in 2005	64
June	41.7°C29 Jun 2012	7.8°C1 Jun 1972	87 mm22 Jun 1990	226 mm1976 · driest 6 mm in 1984	64
July	43.3°C31 Jul 1980	10.0°C7 Jul 1972	141 mm24 Jul 1971	296 mm1971 · driest 6 mm in 1980	65
August	43.9°C1 Aug 1980	9.4°C29 Aug 1986	145 mm15 Aug 2016	241 mm1977 · driest 11 mm in 2024	64
September	42.2°C3 Sep 2000	1.7°C29 Sep 1967	140 mm9 Sep 2015	310 mm1977 · driest 5 mm in 2017	64
October	35.0°C9 Oct 1963	-4.4°C24 Oct 1981	105 mm30 Oct 2009	370 mm1984 · driest 0 mm in 1963	63
November	31.7°C16 Nov 1964	-13.3°C24 Nov 1970	129 mm5 Nov 1994	319 mm2015 · driest 15 mm in 2022	64
December	25.6°C27 Dec 2025	-20.6°C23 Dec 1989	197 mm28 Dec 2015	320 mm1982 · driest 10 mm in 2005	64

Typical days per month at GREERS FERRY DAM, 1991–2020
Month	Days 25°C+	Days 30°C+	Frost nights	Heavy rain (10 mm+)
January	<1	0	21	3
February	<1	0	16	3
March	3	0	8	4
April	9	<1	<1	4
May	21	5	0	5
June	28	18	0	3
July	30	25	0	3
August	30	24	0	3
September	24	13	0	2
October	12	2	<1	3
November	2	0	7	3
December	0	0	17	4

How often, not how much — every day in GREERS FERRY DAM’s record sorted by what it was actually like, rather than averaged
Month	Warm & dry days	Wet days	Washouts	Week with 3+ wet days	Daytime mean has ranged
January	4%	20%	9%	16%	5.7–11.7°C
February	10%	24%	11%	23%	7.5–15.6°C
March	27%	27%	14%	30%	13.4–19.4°C
April	52%	26%	13%	30%	20.2–24.1°C
May	67%	29%	15%	32%	24.4–28.0°C
June	77%	23%	10%	23%	28.7–32.6°C
July	77%	23%	10%	21%	30.4–34.8°C
August	78%	22%	8%	22%	29.8–34.4°C
September	77%	21%	10%	18%	26.6–30.7°C
October	61%	20%	10%	21%	20.9–25.2°C
November	25%	23%	12%	21%	13.5–18.5°C
December	5%	23%	11%	22%	7.9–12.9°C

A warm and dry day reaches 20°C with under 1 mm of rain; a wet day gets 1 mm or more; a washout gets 10 mm or more. The week column is the share of seven-day stretches in that month, across the station’s whole daily record, that contained three or more wet days — the odds a week-long trip is rained on repeatedly, counted rather than modelled. The last column is the 10th to 90th percentile of that month’s daytime average across individual years: a narrow band means the average is what you will get, a wide one means the average is a midpoint between years that felt quite different.

1963Each stripe is one year’s mean temperature against the 60-year average. Warmest: 2012. Coolest: 1979.2025

The evidence behind this page

Nearby, measured,
and named.

Place identity: GeoNames 4133998
NOAA station: USC00032978 · GREERS FERRY DAM
Station distance: 3.8 km from the place centre
Climate period: 1991–2020
Minimum month coverage: 28 usable years
Daylight: Calculated from latitude 35.54°, mid-month, sunrise to sunset including refraction. Not a station measurement.
Important limit: Historical climate is not a forecast. Nearby stations can miss mountains, coasts, and local microclimates.

These places read the same station, so their numbers are identical — distance from GREERS FERRY DAM is what differs

Heber Springs→Fairfield Bay→Greers Ferry→Pangburn→Rose Bud→Higden→

Or put two places side by side: Tumbling Shoals vs Heber Springs

Best time to visitTumbling Shoals.

October

June

October

The whole year,without the guesswork.

Tumbling Shoals runs +0.2°Con the 1961–1990 baseline.

Nearby, measured,and named.

Best time to visit
Tumbling Shoals.

The whole year,
without the guesswork.

Tumbling Shoals runs +0.2°C
on the 1961–1990 baseline.

Nearby, measured,
and named.