May
May · September · October
United States · 1991–2020
May leads for comfortable weather in Middleburg: typically 25.9°C by day, 12°C at night, with 98 mm of rain. Based on measured 1991–2020 NOAA station history.
May · September · October
July · June · August
October · April · May
The weakest month is January, scoring 7 against May’s 75 — days reach only 9.9°C, 14° below the 24°C the score treats as ideal, and nights drop to -3.5°C.
Month by month
The bars show the comfort score. Day and night temperatures come from daily observed highs and lows; rain is the historical monthly estimate.
| Month | Day | Night | Rain | Wet days | Daylight | Comfort | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 9.9°C | -3.5°C | 94 mm | 8.1 | 9 h 56 | 7 | Strong coverage |
| February | 11.9°C | -2.7°C | 74 mm | 7 | 10 h 48 | 19 | Strong coverage |
| March | 16.2°C | 1.1°C | 108 mm | 8.9 | 11 h 51 | 34 | Strong coverage |
| April | 22.1°C | 5.8°C | 104 mm | 8 | 13 h 04 | 63 | Strong coverage |
| May | 25.9°C | 12°C | 98 mm | 8.1 | 14 h 05 | 75 | Strong coverage |
| June | 30°C | 16.9°C | 117 mm | 8.3 | 14 h 38 | 61 | Strong coverage |
| July | 31.8°C | 19.2°C | 115 mm | 8.4 | 14 h 25 | 50 | Strong coverage |
| August | 30.7°C | 18.3°C | 130 mm | 8.3 | 13 h 33 | 54 | Strong coverage |
| September | 27.5°C | 14.6°C | 116 mm | 7 | 12 h 22 | 73 | Strong coverage |
| October | 21.9°C | 7.3°C | 94 mm | 6.3 | 11 h 12 | 68 | Strong coverage |
| November | 16.2°C | 1.2°C | 92 mm | 6.9 | 10 h 11 | 38 | Strong coverage |
| December | 11.4°C | -2°C | 98 mm | 8 | 9 h 41 | 14 | Strong coverage |
What has changed
Each bar compares the 2011–2025 daytime average for that month against the same month in 1961–1990, measured at the same station. Months where the older record is too thin to compare are left blank.
| Month | Record high | Record low | Wettest day | Wettest / driest month | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 27.2°C25 Jan 1949 | -22.2°C28 Jan 1940 | 66 mm3 Jan 1999 | 206 mm1936 · driest 18 mm in 1981 | 130 |
| February | 29.4°C27 Feb 1977 | -21.1°C1 Feb 1936 | 102 mm13 Feb 2014 | 222 mm2020 · driest 4 mm in 2002 | 129 |
| March | 33.3°C17 Mar 1945 | -15.6°C1 Mar 1937 | 119 mm22 Mar 1903 | 273 mm1903 · driest 18 mm in 1985 | 131 |
| April | 36.7°C18 Apr 1896 | -8.3°C12 Apr 1988 | 165 mm8 Apr 1895 | 371 mm1895 · driest 6 mm in 2026 | 129 |
| May | 40.0°C29 May 1941 | -2.2°C2 May 1963 | 94 mm16 May 2014 | 246 mm1958 · driest 3 mm in 1987 | 132 |
| June | 38.9°C26 Jun 1952 | 2.8°C3 Jun 1988 | 121 mm30 Jun 1941 | 250 mm1995 · driest 10 mm in 1986 | 130 |
| July | 41.1°C21 Jul 1926 | 6.7°C2 Jul 1975 | 163 mm10 Jul 1959 | 464 mm1945 · driest 25 mm in 1974 | 132 |
| August | 40.6°C23 Aug 1983 | 3.3°C28 Aug 2025 | 155 mm13 Aug 1903 | 406 mm1906 · driest 6 mm in 1930 | 129 |
| September | 40.6°C6 Sep 1954 | -6.1°C24 Sep 1987 | 127 mm16 Sep 1999 | 434 mm1999 · driest 1 mm in 1922 | 128 |
| October | 37.2°C6 Oct 1941 | -6.7°C27 Oct 1983 | 137 mm9 Oct 2016 | 246 mm1971 · driest 0 mm in 2000 | 128 |
| November | 30.0°C8 Nov 2022 | -11.7°C25 Nov 1970 | 191 mm29 Nov 1934 | 253 mm1985 · driest 8 mm in 1941 | 127 |
| December | 27.2°C13 Dec 1927 | -17.8°C30 Dec 1917 | 76 mm27 Dec 2012 | 244 mm1905 · driest 8 mm in 1965 | 129 |
| Month | Days 25°C+ | Days 30°C+ | Frost nights | Heavy rain (10 mm+) | Snow days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | <1 | 0 | 21 | 4 | <1 |
| February | <1 | 0 | 20 | 3 | <1 |
| March | 3 | <1 | 14 | 4 | <1 |
| April | 11 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| May | 20 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| June | 27 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| July | 30 | 24 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| August | 28 | 20 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| September | 22 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| October | 9 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| November | 1 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| December | <1 | 0 | 21 | 3 | <1 |
The best month has moved. On the 1961–1990 numbers the strongest month here was May (scoring 78); on 2011–2025 it is September (76). Both are scored the same way, from the same station — only the climate underneath changed.
| Month | Warm & dry days | Wet days | Washouts | Week with 3+ wet days | Daytime mean has ranged |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 6% | 26% | 11% | 29% | 7.0–13.8°C |
| February | 9% | 27% | 11% | 31% | 8.1–15.3°C |
| March | 25% | 28% | 12% | 30% | 13.6–19.3°C |
| April | 52% | 26% | 11% | 28% | 19.8–24.2°C |
| May | 67% | 28% | 11% | 32% | 24.1–28.4°C |
| June | 72% | 28% | 12% | 32% | 28.0–32.0°C |
| July | 70% | 30% | 13% | 36% | 30.0–33.5°C |
| August | 72% | 28% | 13% | 30% | 29.0–32.5°C |
| September | 76% | 22% | 10% | 22% | 25.8–30.4°C |
| October | 59% | 19% | 8% | 18% | 20.0–24.2°C |
| November | 25% | 21% | 9% | 18% | 13.8–19.0°C |
| December | 6% | 26% | 11% | 27% | 7.9–14.1°C |
A warm and dry day reaches 20°C with under 1 mm of rain; a wet day gets 1 mm or more; a washout gets 10 mm or more. The week column is the share of seven-day stretches in that month, across the station’s whole daily record, that contained three or more wet days — the odds a week-long trip is rained on repeatedly, counted rather than modelled. The last column is the 10th to 90th percentile of that month’s daytime average across individual years: a narrow band means the average is what you will get, a wide one means the average is a midpoint between years that felt quite different.
The evidence behind this page