United States · 1991–2020

Best time to visit
Bay Shore.

July leads for comfortable weather in Bay Shore: typically 24°C by day, 15.3°C at night, with 64 mm of rain. Based on measured 1991–2020 NOAA station history.

Best comfortJuly
Typical high24°C
Typical low15.3°C
Rain in July64 mm
Comfort

July

July · August · June

91climate match
Beach

July

July · August · June

60climate match
Outdoors

June

June · September · July

80climate match

The weakest month is January, scoring 5 against July’s 91days reach only -2.5°C, 26° below the 24°C the score treats as ideal.

Month by month

The whole year,
without the guesswork.

The bars show the comfort score. Day and night temperatures come from daily observed highs and lows; rain is the historical monthly estimate.

Jan
5-2.5° / -9.2°
Feb
5-1.9° / -10.1°
Mar
52.6° / -6.4°
Apr
129° / 0°
May
4616° / 6.1°
Jun
7521.3° / 11.9°
Jul
9124° / 15.3°
Aug
8823.8° / 14.9°
Sep
6720.5° / 10.9°
Oct
2613.3° / 5.2°
Nov
56.5° / -0.1°
Dec
50.9° / -4.8°
Monthly climate evidence for Bay Shore — daylight is calculated from latitude, everything else is measured, sea temperature from the nearest open water 3 km away
MonthDayNightRainWet daysSeaDaylightComfortCoverage
January-2.5°C-9.2°C64 mm132.2°C9 h 055Strong coverage
February-1.9°C-10.1°C42 mm9.11.1°C10 h 195Strong coverage
March2.6°C-6.4°C53 mm8.20.9°C11 h 465Strong coverage
April9°C0°C73 mm9.62.0°C13 h 2612Strong coverage
May16°C6.1°C78 mm9.64.7°C14 h 5146Strong coverage
June21.3°C11.9°C74 mm8.310.8°C15 h 3875Strong coverage
July24°C15.3°C64 mm7.317.1°C15 h 2091Strong coverage
August23.8°C14.9°C82 mm8.219.5°C14 h 0688Strong coverage
September20.5°C10.9°C91 mm9.717.6°C12 h 2867Strong coverage
October13.3°C5.2°C120 mm13.412.7°C10 h 5226Strong coverage
November6.5°C-0.1°C82 mm12.58.2°C9 h 275Strong coverage
December0.9°C-4.8°C73 mm13.74.7°C8 h 445Strong coverage

What has changed

Bay Shore runs -0.4°C
on the 1961–1990 baseline.

Each bar compares the 2011–2025 daytime average for that month against the same month in 1961–1990, measured at the same station. Months where the older record is too thin to compare are left blank.

Jan
+0.2
Feb
-0.3
Mar
-0.6
Apr
-2.3
May
-1.0
Jun
-0.5
Jul
-0.9
Aug
-0.4
Sep
+0.5
Oct
-0.3
Nov
-0.2
Dec
+1.2
July daytime highs, 20112025. Last recorded: 24.8°C.
Records at PETOSKEY, 1891–2026
MonthRecord highRecord lowWettest dayWettest / driest monthYears
January13.3°C19 Jan 1996-32.8°C10 Jan 189348 mm1 Jan 2026135 mm2026 · driest 8 mm in 1925121
February20.0°C28 Feb 2024-37.2°C9 Feb 193453 mm23 Feb 1922106 mm2019 · driest 7 mm in 2012122
March28.9°C22 Mar 2012-28.3°C3 Mar 197256 mm5 Mar 1913144 mm2025 · driest 1 mm in 2010122
April33.9°C29 Apr 1899-17.8°C4 Apr 192355 mm4 Apr 1981174 mm2026 · driest 11 mm in 1997120
May34.4°C31 May 1934-6.7°C2 May 190777 mm25 May 1904281 mm1904 · driest 6 mm in 1920120
June35.6°C20 Jun 1953-0.6°C4 Jun 189471 mm25 Jun 1898201 mm1954 · driest 1 mm in 1908118
July38.3°C31 Jul 19172.2°C30 Jul 192291 mm4 Jul 1974187 mm1975 · driest 6 mm in 1989120
August37.2°C21 Aug 1955-0.6°C23 Aug 189781 mm20 Aug 1968202 mm1904 · driest 0 mm in 1899118
September35.6°C15 Sep 1897-3.3°C29 Sep 1893152 mm3 Sep 1937271 mm1931 · driest 6 mm in 1902118
October30.6°C5 Oct 2005-9.4°C10 Oct 200582 mm4 Oct 2018239 mm2013 · driest 0 mm in 1918120
November24.4°C2 Nov 1938-18.9°C30 Nov 193658 mm15 Nov 1927177 mm1891 · driest 7 mm in 1981122
December18.3°C5 Dec 2001-27.8°C29 Dec 197645 mm14 Dec 2015143 mm1893 · driest 4 mm in 1994119
Typical days per month at PETOSKEY, 1991–2020
MonthDays 25°C+Days 30°C+Frost nightsHeavy rain (10 mm+)Snow days
January0029114
February0027<111
March<102725
April<101622
May3<113<1
June72020
July132020
August112020
September6<1<130
October1034<1
November001625
December0026112
How often, not how much — every day in PETOSKEY’s record sorted by what it was actually like, rather than averaged
MonthWarm & dry daysWet daysWashoutsWeek with 3+ wet daysDaytime mean has ranged
January0%38%4%47%-5.0–0.1°C
February0%29%3%31%-5.6–1.0°C
March<1%24%5%26%0.1–6.2°C
April7%28%7%32%7.0–12.9°C
May22%28%8%32%13.7–19.9°C
June47%29%9%31%19.6–24.5°C
July71%23%8%20%23.3–26.8°C
August67%26%9%28%22.2–26.1°C
September39%31%11%39%18.6–23.1°C
October13%34%10%45%11.3–16.9°C
November<1%37%7%50%3.5–9.2°C
December0%37%5%49%-2.3–3.3°C

A warm and dry day reaches 20°C with under 1 mm of rain; a wet day gets 1 mm or more; a washout gets 10 mm or more. The week column is the share of seven-day stretches in that month, across the station’s whole daily record, that contained three or more wet days — the odds a week-long trip is rained on repeatedly, counted rather than modelled. The last column is the 10th to 90th percentile of that month’s daytime average across individual years: a narrow band means the average is what you will get, a wide one means the average is a midpoint between years that felt quite different.

1894Each stripe is one year’s mean temperature against the 101-year average. Warmest: 2024. Coolest: 1917.2025

The evidence behind this page

Nearby, measured,
and named.

Place identity
GeoNames 4985210
NOAA station
USC00206507 · PETOSKEY
Station distance
9.6 km from the place centre
Climate period
1991–2020
Minimum month coverage
28 usable years
Daylight
Calculated from latitude 45.36°, mid-month, sunrise to sunset including refraction. Not a station measurement.
Sea temperature
NOAA OISST v2.1 1991–2020 monthly climatology, nearest open water 3 km from the place centre. A sheltered bay can run warmer than the open sea it is measured from.
Important limit
Historical climate is not a forecast. Nearby stations can miss mountains, coasts, and local microclimates.

These places read the same station, so their numbers are identical — distance from PETOSKEY is what differs

Bay HarborHarbor SpringsHorton BayForest BeachHarbor PointPatons Corner