November
November · March · February
United States · 1991–2020
November leads for comfortable weather in Surprise: typically 24.5°C by day, 9.5°C at night, with 14 mm of rain. Based on measured 1991–2020 NOAA station history.
November · March · February
October · April · May
January · February · December
The weakest month is July, scoring 19 against November’s 88 — days average 41.8°C, 18° above the 24°C the score treats as ideal.
Month by month
The bars show the comfort score. Day and night temperatures come from daily observed highs and lows; rain is the historical monthly estimate.
| Month | Day | Night | Rain | Wet days | Daylight | Comfort | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 19.8°C | 5.8°C | 24 mm | 2.8 | 10 h 09 | 70 | Strong coverage |
| February | 21.8°C | 7.3°C | 31 mm | 3.2 | 10 h 56 | 79 | Strong coverage |
| March | 26°C | 10.1°C | 26 mm | 2.8 | 11 h 52 | 85 | Strong coverage |
| April | 30.3°C | 13.4°C | 7 mm | 1.1 | 12 h 58 | 76 | Strong coverage |
| May | 35.1°C | 18.3°C | 4 mm | 0.7 | 13 h 53 | 57 | Strong coverage |
| June | 40.3°C | 23.1°C | 1 mm | 0.2 | 14 h 22 | 32 | Strong coverage |
| July | 41.8°C | 27.3°C | 21 mm | 2.1 | 14 h 11 | 19 | Strong coverage |
| August | 41°C | 26.9°C | 25 mm | 3.2 | 13 h 24 | 22 | Strong coverage |
| September | 38.2°C | 23.2°C | 18 mm | 1.9 | 12 h 20 | 38 | Strong coverage |
| October | 31.8°C | 16°C | 15 mm | 1.6 | 11 h 17 | 72 | Strong coverage |
| November | 24.5°C | 9.5°C | 14 mm | 1.6 | 10 h 22 | 88 | Strong coverage |
| December | 18.9°C | 5.3°C | 23 mm | 2.7 | 9 h 56 | 66 | Strong coverage |
What has changed
Each bar compares the 2011–2025 daytime average for that month against the same month in 1961–1990, measured at the same station. Months where the older record is too thin to compare are left blank.
| Month | Record high | Record low | Wettest day | Wettest / driest month | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 30.6°C19 Jan 1971 | -6.7°C8 Jan 1971 | 42 mm21 Jan 2010 | 167 mm1993 · driest 0 mm in 2026 | 62 |
| February | 32.2°C28 Feb 2026 | -4.4°C16 Feb 1990 | 47 mm14 Feb 2003 | 128 mm2005 · driest 0 mm in 2025 | 62 |
| March | 40.6°C21 Mar 2026 | -4.4°C4 Mar 1966 | 56 mm2 Mar 1978 | 96 mm1978 · driest 0 mm in 1997 | 62 |
| April | 40.0°C22 Apr 2012 | 0.0°C3 Apr 1977 | 32 mm2 Apr 2004 | 45 mm1988 · driest 0 mm in 2020 | 61 |
| May | 45.0°C29 May 2000 | 3.3°C8 May 1965 | 16 mm5 May 2025 | 26 mm1992 · driest 0 mm in 2022 | 61 |
| June | 50.0°C26 Jun 1990 | 10.6°C10 Jun 1969 | 19 mm2 Jun 2025 | 21 mm1967 · driest 0 mm in 2003 | 62 |
| July | 50.0°C28 Jul 1995 | 16.7°C4 Jul 1978 | 67 mm24 Jul 1992 | 91 mm1992 · driest 0 mm in 2023 | 61 |
| August | 47.8°C8 Aug 2025 | 12.2°C23 Aug 1968 | 69 mm24 Aug 1982 | 105 mm1982 · driest 0 mm in 1976 | 61 |
| September | 45.6°C14 Sep 2000 | 8.9°C20 Sep 1965 | 67 mm8 Sep 2014 | 111 mm1970 · driest 0 mm in 1973 | 61 |
| October | 43.3°C2 Oct 2024 | 1.7°C29 Oct 1970 | 47 mm27 Oct 2000 | 118 mm2000 · driest 0 mm in 2009 | 62 |
| November | 35.0°C13 Nov 1999 | -2.2°C29 Nov 1976 | 38 mm20 Nov 2019 | 75 mm1982 · driest 0 mm in 2023 | 62 |
| December | 28.9°C16 Dec 1980 | -6.1°C8 Dec 1978 | 46 mm15 Dec 1967 | 127 mm1967 · driest 0 mm in 2024 | 62 |
| Month | Days 25°C+ | Days 30°C+ | Frost nights | Heavy rain (10 mm+) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| February | 8 | <1 | <1 | 1 |
| March | 18 | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| April | 26 | 16 | 0 | <1 |
| May | 30 | 27 | 0 | <1 |
| June | 29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| July | 30 | 30 | 0 | <1 |
| August | 30 | 30 | 0 | <1 |
| September | 29 | 29 | 0 | <1 |
| October | 28 | 21 | 0 | <1 |
| November | 15 | 3 | <1 | <1 |
| December | 1 | 0 | 2 | <1 |
| Month | Warm & dry days | Wet days | Washouts | Week with 3+ wet days | Daytime mean has ranged |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 47% | 9% | 3% | 7% | 17.6–21.7°C |
| February | 66% | 10% | 3% | 9% | 19.8–24.5°C |
| March | 84% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 22.8–28.2°C |
| April | 95% | 4% | <1% | <1% | 28.1–31.9°C |
| May | 98% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 32.8–36.9°C |
| June | 99% | 1% | <1% | 0% | 37.9–41.8°C |
| July | 92% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 40.0–42.8°C |
| August | 91% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 39.1–42.2°C |
| September | 93% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 36.0–39.2°C |
| October | 94% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 29.3–33.5°C |
| November | 81% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 21.9–26.9°C |
| December | 44% | 9% | 3% | 6% | 16.9–21.3°C |
A warm and dry day reaches 20°C with under 1 mm of rain; a wet day gets 1 mm or more; a washout gets 10 mm or more. The week column is the share of seven-day stretches in that month, across the station’s whole daily record, that contained three or more wet days — the odds a week-long trip is rained on repeatedly, counted rather than modelled. The last column is the 10th to 90th percentile of that month’s daytime average across individual years: a narrow band means the average is what you will get, a wide one means the average is a midpoint between years that felt quite different.
The evidence behind this page