Ukraine · 1991–2020

Best time to visit
Arshyntseve.

September leads for comfortable weather in Arshyntseve: typically 23.4°C by day, 13.8°C at night, with 40 mm of rain. Based on measured 1991–2020 NOAA station history.

Best comfortSeptember

Typical high23.4°C

Typical low13.8°C

Rain in September40 mm

Comfort

September

September · June · May

93climate match

Beach

July

July · August · June

94climate match

Outdoors

May

May · October · September

91climate match

The weakest month is January, scoring 5 against September’s 93 — days reach only 4.3°C, 20° below the 24°C the score treats as ideal.

Month by month

The whole year,
without the guesswork.

The bars show the comfort score. Day and night temperatures come from daily observed highs and lows; rain is the historical monthly estimate.

Jan

54.3° / -2.2°

Feb

54.3° / -2.1°

Mar

218.7° / 1.1°

Apr

5115° / 5.6°

May

8121° / 11.3°

Jun

8726° / 16.2°

Jul

7629° / 18.9°

Aug

7428.8° / 19°

Sep

9323.4° / 13.8°

Oct

6216.8° / 8.5°

Nov

3010.2° / 3.4°

Dec

95.9° / -0.1°

Monthly climate evidence for Arshyntseve — daylight is calculated from latitude, everything else is measured, sea temperature from the nearest open water 18 km away
Month	Day	Night	Rain	Wet days	Sea	Daylight	Comfort	Coverage
January	4.3°C	-2.2°C	36 mm	7.6	6.3°C	9 h 05	5	Good coverage
February	4.3°C	-2.1°C	31 mm	6.6	5.5°C	10 h 19	5	Good coverage
March	8.7°C	1.1°C	33 mm	6.7	6.1°C	11 h 46	21	Good coverage
April	15°C	5.6°C	31 mm	5.7	9.6°C	13 h 26	51	Good coverage
May	21°C	11.3°C	30 mm	5.6	15.7°C	14 h 51	81	Good coverage
June	26°C	16.2°C	51 mm	5.5	21.3°C	15 h 38	87	Good coverage
July	29°C	18.9°C	37 mm	3.3	24.4°C	15 h 19	76	Good coverage
August	28.8°C	19°C	52 mm	4.2	24.9°C	14 h 06	74	Good coverage
September	23.4°C	13.8°C	40 mm	5.4	21.4°C	12 h 28	93	Good coverage
October	16.8°C	8.5°C	33 mm	6	16.7°C	10 h 52	62	Good coverage
November	10.2°C	3.4°C	39 mm	6.3	11.5°C	9 h 27	30	Good coverage
December	5.9°C	-0.1°C	36 mm	7.6	8.2°C	8 h 45	9	Good coverage

What has changed

Arshyntseve runs +2.2°C
on the 1961–1990 baseline.

Each bar compares the 2011–2025 daytime average for that month against the same month in 1961–1990, measured at the same station. Months where the older record is too thin to compare are left blank.

Jan

+3.2

Feb

+2.0

Mar

+2.7

Apr

+1.6

May

+1.5

Jun

+2.6

Jul

+3.0

Aug

+3.4

Sep

+2.4

Oct

+1.8

Nov

+0.8

Dec

+1.7

September daytime highs, 2011–2024. Last recorded: 27.2°C.

Records at KERCH, 1936–2025
Month	Record high	Record low	Wettest day	Wettest / driest month	Years
January	17.3°C10 Jan 2025	-22.7°C23 Jan 2006	26 mm8 Jan 1958	89 mm2024 · driest 1 mm in 2008	87
February	17.8°C7 Feb 2024	-23.1°C5 Feb 1954	36 mm15 Feb 1955	84 mm1955 · driest 2 mm in 1976	87
March	23.4°C31 Mar 1952	-15.6°C4 Mar 1985	23 mm17 Mar 1998	76 mm1998 · driest 1 mm in 2020	86
April	27.6°C30 Apr 2012	-6.5°C6 Apr 1965	35 mm2 Apr 2015	86 mm1997 · driest 0 mm in 1971	87
May	30.6°C17 May 2014	-0.6°C1 May 1971	100 mm15 May 1973	172 mm1973 · driest 0 mm in 2003	85
June	35.2°C28 Jun 2018	3.4°C9 Jun 1958	146 mm6 Jun 1945	180 mm2021 · driest 0 mm in 2007	86
July	37.9°C7 Jul 2020	9.9°C10 Jul 1993	109 mm10 Jul 1950	219 mm1955 · driest 0 mm in 1996	87
August	37.9°C8 Aug 2017	7.5°C30 Aug 1970	94 mm26 Aug 1999	225 mm2021 · driest 0 mm in 1956	85
September	35.5°C4 Sep 2015	1.0°C26 Sep 1956	99 mm16 Sep 2002	156 mm2002 · driest 1 mm in 2012	85
October	30.9°C2 Oct 1999	-5.4°C26 Oct 1959	55 mm18 Oct 2024	153 mm2024 · driest 1 mm in 2012	85
November	23.2°C9 Nov 2016	-11.8°C27 Nov 1999	44 mm20 Nov 1954	132 mm2023 · driest 0 mm in 1996	86
December	19.3°C3 Dec 1961	-17.6°C18 Dec 1946	39 mm17 Dec 1990	100 mm1957 · driest 1 mm in 1972	85

Typical days per month at KERCH, 1991–2020
Month	Days 25°C+	Days 30°C+	Frost nights	Heavy rain (10 mm+)
January	0	0	17	<1
February	0	0	16	<1
March	0	0	11	<1
April	<1	0	1	<1
May	5	<1	0	<1
June	18	4	0	2
July	27	12	0	1
August	26	11	0	1
September	11	1	0	1
October	1	0	<1	<1
November	0	0	6	1
December	0	0	13	<1

The best month has moved. On the 1961–1990 numbers the strongest month here was June (scoring 95); on 2011–2025 it is September (97). Both are scored the same way, from the same station — only the climate underneath changed.

How often, not how much — every day in KERCH’s record sorted by what it was actually like, rather than averaged
Month	Warm & dry days	Wet days	Washouts	Week with 3+ wet days	Daytime mean has ranged
January	0%	25%	3%	27%	-0.8–7.0°C
February	0%	24%	2%	25%	0.2–7.9°C
March	<1%	20%	2%	18%	4.7–10.6°C
April	9%	19%	2%	15%	12.1–16.7°C
May	47%	17%	3%	16%	18.4–22.7°C
June	78%	20%	6%	18%	23.1–27.8°C
July	87%	13%	4%	7%	26.1–30.5°C
August	87%	13%	5%	10%	25.4–30.4°C
September	68%	16%	3%	13%	20.4–25.1°C
October	20%	18%	3%	17%	13.8–19.2°C
November	1%	22%	4%	25%	7.9–12.8°C
December	0%	28%	3%	33%	2.4–9.4°C

A warm and dry day reaches 20°C with under 1 mm of rain; a wet day gets 1 mm or more; a washout gets 10 mm or more. The week column is the share of seven-day stretches in that month, across the station’s whole daily record, that contained three or more wet days — the odds a week-long trip is rained on repeatedly, counted rather than modelled. The last column is the 10th to 90th percentile of that month’s daytime average across individual years: a narrow band means the average is what you will get, a wide one means the average is a midpoint between years that felt quite different.

1936Each stripe is one year’s mean temperature against the 81-year average. Warmest: 2024. Coolest: 1956.2024

The evidence behind this page

Nearby, measured,
and named.

Place identity: GeoNames 713195
NOAA station: UPM00033983 · KERCH
Station distance: 11 km from the place centre
Climate period: 1991–2020
Minimum month coverage: 20 usable years
Daylight: Calculated from latitude 45.30°, mid-month, sunrise to sunset including refraction. Not a station measurement.
Sea temperature: NOAA OISST v2.1 1991–2020 monthly climatology, nearest open water 18 km from the place centre. A sheltered bay can run warmer than the open sea it is measured from.
Important limit: Historical climate is not a forecast. Nearby stations can miss mountains, coasts, and local microclimates.

These places read the same station, so their numbers are identical — distance from KERCH is what differs

Kerch→Shcholkine→Taman→Baherove→Voykovo→Priozyornoye→

Or put two places side by side: Arshyntseve vs Kerch

Best time to visitArshyntseve.

September

July

May

The whole year,without the guesswork.

Arshyntseve runs +2.2°Con the 1961–1990 baseline.

Nearby, measured,and named.

Best time to visit
Arshyntseve.

The whole year,
without the guesswork.

Arshyntseve runs +2.2°C
on the 1961–1990 baseline.

Nearby, measured,
and named.