Mexico · 1991–2020

Best time to visit
El Porvenir I.

March leads for comfortable weather in El Porvenir I: typically 23.8°C by day, 1.9°C at night, with 17 mm of rain. Based on measured 1991–2020 NOAA station history.

Best comfortMarch

Typical high23.8°C

Typical low1.9°C

Rain in March17 mm

Comfort

March

March · April · May

76climate match

Beach

April

April · March · May

39climate match

Outdoors

November

November · January · December

82climate match

The weakest month is July, scoring 48 against March’s 76 — 163 mm of rain falls, and nights drop to 7.7°C.

Month by month

The whole year,
without the guesswork.

The bars show the comfort score. Day and night temperatures come from daily observed highs and lows; rain is the historical monthly estimate.

Jan

5920.2° / -0.9°

Feb

6822.2° / 0.4°

Mar

7623.8° / 1.9°

Apr

7624.9° / 4.2°

May

7124.5° / 6.2°

Jun

5722.7° / 7.9°

Jul

4821.5° / 7.7°

Aug

4921.7° / 7.8°

Sep

5321.5° / 7.9°

Oct

6821.7° / 5.1°

Nov

6821.4° / 1.8°

Dec

6120.8° / -0.6°

Monthly climate evidence for El Porvenir I — daylight is calculated from latitude, everything else is measured
Month	Day	Night	Rain	Wet days	Daylight	Comfort	Coverage
January	20.2°C	-0.9°C	10 mm	1.7	11 h 05	59	Strong coverage
February	22.2°C	0.4°C	13 mm	1.5	11 h 29	68	Strong coverage
March	23.8°C	1.9°C	17 mm	2.6	11 h 59	76	Strong coverage
April	24.9°C	4.2°C	32 mm	4.6	12 h 34	76	Strong coverage
May	24.5°C	6.2°C	76 mm	9.7	13 h 02	71	Strong coverage
June	22.7°C	7.9°C	143 mm	14.9	13 h 17	57	Strong coverage
July	21.5°C	7.7°C	163 mm	17.4	13 h 11	48	Strong coverage
August	21.7°C	7.8°C	159 mm	17	12 h 47	49	Strong coverage
September	21.5°C	7.9°C	145 mm	15.4	12 h 14	53	Strong coverage
October	21.7°C	5.1°C	52 mm	7.3	11 h 40	68	Strong coverage
November	21.4°C	1.8°C	19 mm	3.1	11 h 12	68	Strong coverage
December	20.8°C	-0.6°C	7 mm	0.9	10 h 58	61	Strong coverage

What has changed

El Porvenir I runs +3.9°C
on the 1961–1990 baseline.

Each bar compares the 2011–2025 daytime average for that month against the same month in 1961–1990, measured at the same station. Months where the older record is too thin to compare are left blank.

Jan

+3.8

Feb

+4.6

Mar

+4.2

Apr

+3.9

May

+4.1

Jun

+4.0

Jul

+3.7

Aug

+3.8

Sep

+3.8

Oct

+3.6

Nov

+3.6

Dec

+4.1

March daytime highs, 2011–2025. Last recorded: 24.6°C.

Records at TOLUCA (OBS), 1968–2026
Month	Record high	Record low	Wettest day	Wettest / driest month	Years
January	27.0°C13 Jan 2024	-11.1°C12 Jan 1997	32 mm29 Jan 1992	58 mm1992 · driest 0 mm in 1987	55
February	28.8°C18 Feb 2020	-7.8°C23 Feb 1989	62 mm4 Feb 2010	79 mm2010 · driest 0 mm in 1996	55
March	31.3°C9 Mar 2024	-8.3°C11 Mar 1989	33 mm16 Mar 2022	63 mm2004 · driest 0 mm in 2024	54
April	32.0°C17 Apr 2024	-5.0°C5 Apr 1987	35 mm19 Apr 2014	91 mm2008 · driest 0 mm in 2013	52
May	33.6°C10 May 2024	-0.6°C2 May 1978	58 mm12 May 2009	183 mm2000 · driest 2 mm in 1998	53
June	37.0°C23 Jun 2026	-1.7°C1 Jun 1983	73 mm14 Jun 1995	285 mm2000 · driest 24 mm in 2017	54
July	29.4°C27 Jul 2009	0.0°C9 Jul 1979	55 mm17 Jul 1997	268 mm1997 · driest 24 mm in 2024	53
August	26.9°C8 Aug 2017	0.0°C28 Aug 1992	56 mm29 Aug 2010	315 mm2006 · driest 15 mm in 1979	54
September	28.3°C3 Sep 1981	-3.9°C30 Sep 1979	72 mm18 Sep 2005	338 mm1998 · driest 35 mm in 2011	50
October	29.4°C16 Oct 2007	-7.2°C29 Oct 1999	111 mm10 Oct 1976	219 mm1976 · driest 1 mm in 1987	53
November	28.9°C11 Nov 1993	-7.8°C27 Nov 1974	37 mm23 Nov 2023	81 mm2023 · driest 0 mm in 1986	53
December	27.2°C3 Dec 1983	-10.0°C26 Dec 1983	30 mm31 Dec 1995	56 mm1995 · driest 0 mm in 1970	50

Typical days per month at TOLUCA (OBS), 1991–2020
Month	Days 25°C+	Frost nights	Heavy rain (10 mm+)
January	<1	19	<1
February	4	12	<1
March	9	6	<1
April	16	2	<1
May	13	<1	2
June	6	<1	5
July	1	<1	5
August	1	<1	5
September	1	<1	5
October	2	2	2
November	1	8	<1
December	<1	17	<1

The best month has moved. On the 1961–1990 numbers the strongest month here was April (scoring 75); on 2011–2025 it is June (81). Both are scored the same way, from the same station — only the climate underneath changed.

How often, not how much — every day in TOLUCA (OBS)’s record sorted by what it was actually like, rather than averaged
Month	Warm & dry days	Wet days	Washouts	Week with 3+ wet days	Daytime mean has ranged
January	48%	5%	<1%	3%	16.6–22.2°C
February	66%	6%	<1%	2%	18.7–24.5°C
March	82%	8%	2%	4%	20.7–25.9°C
April	79%	16%	3%	19%	21.3–26.8°C
May	64%	32%	7%	47%	21.2–26.8°C
June	42%	50%	15%	76%	19.1–24.8°C
July	30%	58%	16%	89%	18.4–23.3°C
August	33%	55%	16%	82%	18.6–23.4°C
September	37%	47%	15%	64%	18.8–23.1°C
October	56%	23%	5%	24%	18.5–23.5°C
November	59%	9%	1%	4%	18.2–23.0°C
December	49%	4%	<1%	1%	17.7–22.3°C

A warm and dry day reaches 20°C with under 1 mm of rain; a wet day gets 1 mm or more; a washout gets 10 mm or more. The week column is the share of seven-day stretches in that month, across the station’s whole daily record, that contained three or more wet days — the odds a week-long trip is rained on repeatedly, counted rather than modelled. The last column is the 10th to 90th percentile of that month’s daytime average across individual years: a narrow band means the average is what you will get, a wide one means the average is a midpoint between years that felt quite different.

1968Each stripe is one year’s mean temperature against the 41-year average. Warmest: 2024. Coolest: 1975.2024

The evidence behind this page

Nearby, measured,
and named.

Place identity: GeoNames 8859049
NOAA station: MXM00076675 · TOLUCA (OBS)
Station distance: 4.8 km from the place centre
Climate period: 1991–2020
Minimum month coverage: 27 usable years
Daylight: Calculated from latitude 19.32°, mid-month, sunrise to sunset including refraction. Not a station measurement.
Important limit: Historical climate is not a forecast. Nearby stations can miss mountains, coasts, and local microclimates.

These places read the same station, so their numbers are identical — distance from TOLUCA (OBS) is what differs

Santa Cruz Cuauhtenco→San Antonio Buenavista→San José Barbabosa→Colonia la Virgen→Los Rosales→Pueblo Nuevo→

Or put two places side by side: El Porvenir I vs Santa Cruz Cuauhtenco

Best time to visitEl Porvenir I.

March

April

November

The whole year,without the guesswork.

El Porvenir I runs +3.9°Con the 1961–1990 baseline.

Nearby, measured,and named.

Best time to visit
El Porvenir I.

The whole year,
without the guesswork.

El Porvenir I runs +3.9°C
on the 1961–1990 baseline.

Nearby, measured,
and named.